Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.021380 0.027535 0.036002 0.049026 0.069627 0.103179 0.167847
2024-12-15 0.014517 0.020677 0.030584 0.049268 0.088461 0.184052 0.543453
2024-12-22 0.011471 0.017384 0.027899 0.050795 0.111000 0.328822 2.524368
2024-12-29 0.009524 0.015068 0.025656 0.051373 0.133205 0.577463 36.183868
2025-01-05 0.007918 0.012860 0.022730 0.048481 0.142289 0.862809 NaN
2025-01-12 0.006860 0.011403 0.020852 0.047202 0.157074 1.438710 NaN
2025-01-19 0.006341 0.010860 0.020765 0.051009 0.204904 4.320898 NaN
2025-01-26 0.006038 0.010677 0.021440 0.057891 0.297126 46.494281 NaN
2025-02-02 0.005762 0.010482 0.022026 0.065222 0.440382 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.005301 0.009795 0.021106 0.065925 0.531924 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.004916 0.009213 0.020323 0.066818 0.650254 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.004566 0.008660 0.019482 0.066958 0.777963 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.004121 0.007880 0.017978 0.063798 0.851056 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.003790 0.007334 0.017078 0.063584 1.062828 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.003548 0.006965 0.016626 0.065731 1.512769 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.003315 0.006582 0.016026 0.066556 2.073071 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003039 0.006053 0.014821 0.062431 2.138971 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.002829 0.005667 0.014018 0.060618 2.505009 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002735 0.005567 0.014167 0.066035 5.179808 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002688 0.005582 0.014736 0.075976 21.562917 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002636 0.005575 0.015232 0.086770 408.493746 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002509 0.005344 0.014799 0.087814 39140.275568 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002395 0.005137 0.014417 0.089145 NaN NaN NaN